I use laboratory, online, and field experiments to study how people form beliefs and make decisions, with applications to climate change, social norms, cooperation, and behavioral policy.
Regional economic divides often persist despite free mobility, a puzzle attributed to gaps in trust and cooperation preferences. We study Italy's North–South trust divide to test whether such differences dissolve after migration to a higher-trust region. Using trust-game data from a Northern Italian province, we compare natives, Southern migrants, and other-region migrants: Southern migrants trust 29% less than natives, while other migrants are indistinguishable from them. The gap reflects both more pessimistic beliefs about others' cooperation and lower trustworthiness, with beliefs playing the larger role. Trust does not converge toward natives' levels with time since migration, suggesting persistent cultural traits.
@unpublished{grimalda_guido_trust,
author = {Gianluca Grimalda and Andrea Guido},
title = {Accounting for Italy's North–South divide in trusting behaviour: Experimental evidence from Southern migrants},
note = {Working paper},
year = {2026}
}
Organizations are increasingly held accountable for the emissions their customers generate in using their products, yet the instrument they most often deploy — information provision — tends to raise awareness without changing behavior. We argue that this behavioral issue reflects limited attention: individuals attribute low instrumental value to the information and stop attending to it. Pursuing a goal, by contrast, may increase the perceived value of that information, sustaining attention and improving recall. We test this idea in a pre-registered field experiment (N=830), with a major European telecommunications operator, on offloading — i.e., switching internet use from mobile to Wi-Fi networks — which lowers the emissions of data use. While information provision alone does not produce any significant change in consumption behavior, the addition of goal setting increases attention in the short run and recall in the long run. These effects together increased the Wi-Fi share of total data consumption by about five percentage points (0.18 s.d.), without altering total data use. This behavioral shift towards cleaner networks persists after the intervention ends. Evidence from a follow-up survey indicates that this change is not due to alternative mechanisms, such as automated data management technologies, thereby lending support to theories of rational inattention. Self-set goals offer firms a low-cost, scalable design feature to reduce use-phase emissions without curtailing the service customers value.
@unpublished{guido_making_information_stick,
author = {Andrea Guido and Rustam Romaniuc and Kene Boun My and Eugen Dimant and Dimitri Dubois and Michela Chessa and Danièle Fares and Xavier Gassmann and Andrea Martinangeli and Eli Spiegelman and Angela Sutan and Arnaud Brun and Laurence Dhaleine},
title = {Making information stick: Goal setting and attention},
note = {Working paper},
year = {2026}
}
Altruistic cooperation is well documented in laboratory and field settings, yet the motivations that sustain it remain debated. Two leading explanations emphasize outcome-based social preferences and social norms, with the former focusing on distributional outcomes and the latter on compliance with socially appropriate action. We systematically study the relative importance of these competing explanations by conducting structural estimation on a dataset constructed by combining individual-level data from Dictator Game experiments. Additionally, we study the role of social norm strength — the extent to which social norms are clearly defined and widely shared — in translating what should be done into action. We find that generosity in Dictator Games is jointly determined by outcome-based social preferences and social norms, and that the influence of social norms on behaviour is strongly associated with their strength.
@unpublished{andrighetto_guido_dg_norms,
author = {Giulia Andrighetto and Andrea Guido and Eugenia Polizzi di Sorrentino and Aron Szekely},
title = {What motivates giving in Dictator Games? Estimating the role of social norms and preferences},
note = {Working paper},
year = {2026}
}
Over the past few years, policy-makers have enthusiastically resorted to mass persuasion to promote behavioral change. However, the one-size-fit-all approach adopted by most policy-makers has often been criticized for leading to more heterogeneous and undesired behavior. A central unanswered question is whether the effect of persuasion depends on individuals' predisposition to follow externally-imposed rules. We provide experimental evidence on the heterogeneous effect of persuasion in a collective action problem. By studying the effect of appeals in an online experiment, we find that rule followers comply with the content of the appeal, while rule breakers react against it. Reactance to appeals among rule breakers emerges after some time and is robust even after controlling for social preferences, personal and social norms. Persuasive appeals have no overall effect on welfare, yet they introduce distributional disparities. Our findings raise awareness about the importance of individual heterogeneity when designing and evaluating behavioral interventions.
@article{guido2025nudging,
author = {Andrea Guido and Denis Tverskoi and Sergey Gavrilets and Ángel Sánchez and Giulia Andrighetto},
title = {Nudging or nagging: The perils of persuasion},
journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization},
year = {2025},
volume = {240},
pages = {107293},
doi = {10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107293}
}
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics2025
Grouping cooperatively disposed subjects with one another has been shown to slow the decline of contributions in public goods games. So far, similar findings have been obtained both when groups are exogenously formed by the experimenter and when they are endogenously formed by algorithms taking subjects' preferences for partners into account. We designed an experiment in which internally homogeneous groups – composed of like-minded subjects – can form either exogenously or endogenously, testing the conjecture that endogenously formed groups of cooperators will outperform similar exogenously formed groups due to subjects' decision rights in the endogenous procedure. We find that the conjecture is not supported, discussing potential explanations.
@article{guido2025comparison,
author = {Andrea Guido and Louis Putterman and Rustam Romaniuc},
title = {A comparison of endogenous and exogenous group formation to increase cooperation},
journal = {Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics},
year = {2025},
volume = {119},
pages = {102451},
doi = {10.1016/j.socec.2025.102451}
}
We introduce positive and negative endowment shocks and information frictions into an experimental labor market and study how firms share these with workers. Workers evaluate wages consistently with a reference wage, demanding higher (lower) wages but exerting the same effort when a positive (negative) shock is common knowledge. Their wage expectations adjust instantaneously to new information but sluggishly and asymmetrically when unaware of the shock. Firms form accurate beliefs about how shocks and information reshape effort responses and act on their beliefs, almost optimally in all scenarios. Our results suggest a limited role for other-regarding preferences and can be rationalized by a selfish firm best responding to a worker evaluating wages according to a reference wage.
@article{guido2025reference,
author = {Andrea Guido and Alejandro Martínez-Marquina and Ryan Rholes},
title = {Reference dependence and the role of information frictions},
journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization},
year = {2025},
volume = {237},
pages = {107169},
doi = {10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107169}
}
There is a significant gap in turnout between young people and older voters. The failure to instill a voting habit at an early age may have long term consequences in terms of future political participation as well as on other civic behaviors. Using a pre-registered online experiment with 3790 subjects, we implemented behavioral interventions aiming to stimulate youth turnout in the 2022 French presidential election. We rely on an innovative incentive scheme to measure their consequences on (self-reported) actual voting behavior. We also provide evidence on the effect of one behavioral intervention on youth turnout in a less salient election, the French legislative election that took place two months after the Presidential one. The results from the two experiments show the absence of any differences in turnout between the baseline and the treatment conditions. We investigate several mechanisms that can explain our results.
@article{romaniuc2025limits,
author = {Rustam Romaniuc and Andrea Guido and Pierre Baudry and Cécile Bazart and Loïc Berger and Noémi Berlin and Aurélie Bonein and Imen Bouhlel and Kene Boun My and Michela Chessa and Paolo Crosetto and Etienne Dagorn and Quentin David and Étienne Farvaque and Agnès Festré and Abel François and Lisette Ibanez and Herrade Igersheim and Nicolas Jacquemet and Isabelle Lebon and Mathieu Lefebvre and Olivier L'Haridon and Danlin Li and Youenn Lohéac and Stéphane Luchini and Laurent Muller and Matthieu Pourieux and Elven Priour and Sébastien Roussel and Petros G. Sekeris and Maïté Stéphan and Eli Spiegelman and Angela Sutan and Uyanga Turmunkh and Laurence Vardaxoglou and Marc Willinger and Dimitri Dubois},
title = {The limits of behavioral nudges to increase youth turnout: Experimental evidence from two French elections},
journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization},
year = {2025},
volume = {236},
pages = {107098},
doi = {10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107098}
}
Individuals are often poorly informed about the environmental consequences of their actions. Informational campaigns are a widely used policy tool to address imperfect information. However, previous research suggests that simply providing information may be ineffective and fail to engage individuals. We investigate whether augmented reality (AR) can reduce psychological distance and promote pro-environmental behavior. In two incentivized experiments (laboratory and contextualized), we evaluate the effect of AR visualizations of marine plastic-pollution consequences on participants' psychological distance and donations to pro-environmental organizations. Our results show no significant impact of AR visualizations on psychological distance or donation levels in either setting. Interestingly, we document a general optimism regarding the effectiveness of immersive technologies as policy tools, highlighting a potential misalignment between public expectations and the actual effectiveness of these technologies.
@article{attanasi2025raising,
author = {Giuseppe Attanasi and Barbara Buljat Raymond and Agnès Festré and Andrea Guido},
title = {Raising environmental awareness with augmented reality},
journal = {Ecological Economics},
year = {2025},
volume = {233},
pages = {108563},
doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108563}
}
@article{guido2025marche,
author = {Andrea Guido and Antoine Malézieux},
title = {Le marché universitaire des maîtres de conférences en économie et en gestion en France},
journal = {Revue de l'OFCE},
year = {2025},
number = {188},
pages = {43--67},
doi = {10.3917/reof.188.0043}
}
The emergence of COVID-19 dramatically changed social behavior across societies and contexts. Here we study whether social norms also changed. Specifically, we study this question for cultural tightness (the degree to which societies generally have strong norms), specific social norms (e.g. stealing, hand washing), and norms about enforcement, using survey data from 30,431 respondents in 43 countries recorded before and in the early stages following the emergence of COVID-19. Using variation in disease intensity, we shed light on the mechanisms predicting changes in social norm measures. We find evidence that, after the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, hand washing norms increased while tightness and punishing frequency slightly decreased but observe no evidence for a robust change in most other norms. Thus, at least in the short term, our findings suggest that cultures are largely stable to pandemic threats except in those norms, hand washing in this case, that are perceived to be directly relevant to dealing with the collective threat.
@article{andrighetto2024changes,
author = {Giulia Andrighetto and Aron Szekely and Andrea Guido and Michele Gelfand and others},
title = {Changes in social norms during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic across 43 countries},
journal = {Nature Communications},
year = {2024},
volume = {15},
pages = {1436},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-024-44999-5}
}
Did cultures change shortly after, and in response to, the COVID-19 outbreak? If so, then in what way? We study these questions for a set of macro-cultural dimensions: collectivism/individualism, duty/joy, traditionalism/autonomy, and pro-fertility/individual-choice norms. We also study specific perceptions and norms like perceived threats to society (e.g. immigration) and hygiene norms. Using survey data from 29,761 respondents, in 55 cities and 43 countries, collected before (April–December 2019) and recently after the emergence of COVID-19 (April–June 2020), we exploit variation in disease intensity across regions to test potential mechanisms behind any changes. The macro-cultural dimensions remained stable. In contrast, specific perceptions and norms related to the pandemic changed: norms of hygiene substantially increased as did perceived threats related to disease.
@article{pasin2024evidence,
author = {Gian Luca Pasin and Aron Szekely and Kimmo Eriksson and Andrea Guido and Eugenia Polizzi di Sorrentino and Giulia Andrighetto},
title = {Evidence from 43 countries that disease leaves cultures unchanged in the short-term},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
year = {2024},
volume = {14},
pages = {6502},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-023-33155-6}
}
@article{guido2024network,
author = {Andrea Guido and Maxime Derex and Rustam Romaniuc},
title = {Network connectivity and repeated interactions in an information sharing dilemma},
journal = {Annals of Economics and Statistics},
year = {2024},
number = {154},
pages = {51},
doi = {10.2307/48777886}
}
In social interactions, human decision-making, attitudes, and beliefs about others coevolve. Their dynamics are affected by cost-benefit considerations, cognitive processes, and social influences by peers and by authorities. Here we attempt to disentangle some of this complexity by using an integrative mathematical modeling and a 35-day online behavioral experiment. We utilize data from a Common Pool Resources experiment with or without messaging promoting a group-beneficial level of resource extraction. We directly estimate the weights of different factors in decision-making and beliefs dynamics. We show that personal norms and conformity with expected peers' actions have the largest impact on decision-making while material benefits and normative expectations have smaller effects. Individuals behaving prosocially are characterized by higher weights of personal norms while antisocial types are more affected by conformity. Messaging greatly decreases the weight of personal norms while simultaneously increases the weight of conformity. Our results have implications for understanding and predicting social processes triggered by shocks and for designing policy interventions aiming to change behavior.
@article{tverskoi2023disentangling,
author = {Denis Tverskoi and Andrea Guido and Giulia Andrighetto and Ángel Sánchez and Sergey Gavrilets},
title = {Disentangling material, social, and cognitive determinants of human behavior and beliefs},
journal = {Humanities and Social Sciences Communications},
year = {2023},
volume = {10},
doi = {10.1057/s41599-023-01745-4}
}
There is robust evidence in the experimental economics literature showing that monopoly power is affected by trading institutions. In this paper, we study whether trading institutions themselves can shape agents' market behavior through the formation of anchors. We recreate experimentally five different double-auction market structures (perfect competition, perfect competition with quotas, cartel on price, cartel on price with quotas, and monopoly) in a within-subject design, varying the order of markets implementation. We investigate whether monopoly power endures the formation of price anchors emerged in previously implemented market structures. Results from our classroom experiments suggest that double-auction trading institutions succeed in preventing monopolists from exploiting their market power. Furthermore, the formation of price anchors in previously implemented markets negatively impacts on monopolists' power in later market structures.
@article{attanasi2021controlling,
author = {Giuseppe Attanasi and Kene Boun My and Andrea Guido and Mathieu Lefebvre},
title = {Controlling monopoly power in a double-auction market experiment},
journal = {Journal of Public Economic Theory},
year = {2021},
volume = {23},
number = {5},
pages = {1074--1101},
doi = {10.1111/jpet.12504}
}
Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society2020
Recent research at the cross between cognitive and social sciences is investigating the cognitive mechanisms behind cooperative decisions. One debated question is whether cooperative decisions are made faster than non-cooperative ones. Yet empirical evidence is still mixed. In this paper we explore the implications of individual heterogeneity in social value orientation for the effect of response time on cooperation. We conduct a meta-analysis of available experimental studies (n=8; treatments=16; 5,232 subjects). We report two main results: (i) the relation between response time and cooperation is moderated by social value orientation, such that it is positive for individualist subjects and negative for prosocial subjects; (ii) the relation between response time and cooperation is partly mediated by extremity of choice. These results suggest that highly prosocial subjects are fast to cooperate, highly individualist subjects are fast to defect, and subjects with weaker preferences make slower and less extreme decisions.
@article{andrighetto2020cooperation,
author = {Giulia Andrighetto and Valerio Capraro and Andrea Guido and Aron Szekely},
title = {Cooperation, response time, and social value orientation: A meta-analysis},
journal = {Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society},
year = {2020}
}
We survey the growing literature on group formation in the context of three types of social dilemma games: public goods games, common pool resources, and the prisoner's dilemma. The 62 surveyed papers study the effect of different sorting mechanisms – endogenous, endogenous with the option to play the game, and exogenous – on cooperation rates. Our survey shows that cooperators are highly sensitive to the presence of free-riders, independently of the sorting mechanism. We complement the survey with a meta-analysis showing no difference in terms of cooperation between studies implementing an endogenous and exogenous sorting. What is more, we find that it is no more likely for a cooperator to be matched with like-minded partners in endogenously formed groups than in exogenously formed groups. As we show in the survey, the success of a sorting method in matching like-minded individuals and the levels of cooperation are closely interlinked.
@article{guido2019group,
author = {Andrea Guido and Andrea Robbett and Rustam Romaniuc},
title = {Group formation and cooperation in social dilemmas: A survey and meta-analytic evidence},
journal = {Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization},
year = {2019},
volume = {159},
pages = {192--209},
doi = {10.1016/j.jebo.2019.02.009}
}
Decision-makers in organizations rely on causal representations of how their actions translate into outcomes — mental models — to navigate complex policy environments. Understanding these models is central to organizational cognition, yet observational methods can document what models people hold without establishing how they form, which model is selected when several are consistent with the same evidence, or what shifts them. Experiments fill this gap: by controlling the information environment and varying causal structures, they allow researchers to identify which models are activated, why some are adopted over others, and how they respond to persuasion. This chapter reviews the experimental evidence along these three dimensions. Together, the findings suggest that organizational interventions targeting behavior directly may fail if they leave the underlying causal representation unchanged.
@incollection{guido_fares_2026,
author = {Andrea Guido and Danièle Fares},
title = {Using experiments to study mental models},
year = {2026}
}
Policy briefs
FREE Network Policy Brief2026
Can financial rewards encourage reporting of electoral fraud? Experimental evidence from Moldova
Survey experiment with 1,550 Moldovan adults shortly before the September 2025 parliamentary election, testing two ways to encourage reporting of vote buying: a short moral message and a guaranteed financial reward. The moral message had no effect, while the financial reward reduced willingness to report, both for a community member selling their vote and for a political organisation paying people to attend a rally.
@techreport{guido_romaniuc_2026_brief,
author = {Andrea Guido and Rustam Romaniuc},
title = {Can financial rewards encourage reporting of electoral fraud? Experimental evidence from Moldova},
institution = {FREE Network Policy Brief},
type = {Policy brief},
year = {2026}
}
Review of recent behavioral research, mainly studies published after Brewer et al.'s 2017 survey, on interventions that increase vaccine acceptance and uptake. Interventions tested in the lab, online and in the field are grouped into four types: social norms, opt-out strategies, reminders and recalls, and loss- or gain-framed (tailored or untailored) messages. The review identifies which policies work and what drives their success, for researchers and public organisations seeking to raise COVID-19 vaccination rates.
@techreport{romaniuc_2021_vaccine,
author = {Rustam Romaniuc and Andrea Guido and Nicholas Mai and Eli Spiegelman and Angela Sutan},
title = {Increasing vaccine acceptance and uptake: A review of the evidence},
institution = {SSRN Working Paper},
type = {Policy brief},
year = {2021},
doi = {10.2139/ssrn.3839654}
}
No papers in this category yet.
Grants
2026–2027
Human-centered AI in customer service: Aligning employee experience and customer expectations Principal investigator · Orange Innovation
2024–present
Nudges to reduce screen dependence Principal investigator · Orange Innovation
2022–present
Nudges for a more accountable use of digital technologies Principal investigator · Orange Innovation
2022–2025
BeAware: Bringing environmental issues closer to the public with augmented reality Member · ANR
2021–2024
WINAR: Whistleblowing incentives and norms across cultures Member · ANR
2019–2021
How do human norms form and change? Postdoctoral fellowship · Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation
2018
GRICRIS: Green innovation, creativity, risk and social context Member · ANR
Teaching & material
Python for Data Science (Master in Finance, PGE 5)
Four sessions built around one question: could the bank have seen default coming? Students take 30,000 credit card records from raw file to defensible answer: import, clean, test, and check how much their own choices drive the results.
I am an Associate Professor of Economics at Paris School of Business. I work in applied microeconomics, with a focus on behavioral and experimental economics.
My current research studies causal narratives, i.e., how people explain economic and social phenomena and how these explanations shape their policy preferences, with an ongoing project on climate change narratives. I also work on prosociality, nudges and their unintended effects, and the economics of attention in digital environments.
I received my Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Lille. Before joining PSB, I was an Associate Professor at Burgundy School of Business and a postdoctoral fellow at the Institute for Futures Studies (Stockholm).